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Donald Trump Will Win, Says AI System That Correctly Predicted the Last 3 Elections

Friday, 28 October 2016 / No Comments
Politics News Report

Politics News Report:

A highly reliable statistical model has predicted a Donald Trump presidency, and an artificial intelligence system that has gone three-for-three in the last three presidential elections is following suit.

MogAI, an AI system developed by Sanjiv Rai, founder of Indian healthcare startup, predicts a Donald Trump presidency, CNBC reports.

MogAI – which was named after Mowgli from "The Jungle Book" because, like the young "man cub," it learns from the environment – correctly predicted the outcomes of the last three presidential elections, as well as the results of the Democratic and Republican primaries. It uses information from public platforms like Facebook, Twitter, and Google to generate a prediction of voting behavior.

According to the data, people are 25 percent more engaged with Trump than they were with Barack Obama at his peak in 2008. On its face, this engagement indicates support of candidacy.

"If Trump loses, it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since Internet engagement began in full earnest," Rai explained to CNBC.

However, the AI does not take into account the tone or intention of the user activity it measures. So if someone is posting negative reactions to Trump on Twitter, for example, the AI registers it as as simply "engagement," which it considers a positive measurement.

"Granularity of data will determine progressively lesser bias despite the weightage of negative or positive conversations," Rai wrote.

In other words, more precise data would allow MogAI to separate out a candidate's supporters from their naysayers. Obtaining users' IP addresses, for example, would allow the AI system to track their overall engagement more precisely.

There are other potential loopholes as well, Rai admits. There are more people engaging on social media now than there were in 2008, for example. Still, as Trump has often demonstrated, any publicity can be good publicity.

"If you look at the primaries, in the primaries, there were immense amount of negative conversations that happen with regards to Trump," Rai told CNBC. "However, when these conversations started picking up pace, in the final days, it meant a huge game opening for Trump and he won the Primaries with a good margin."

New Final Fantasy Title Teased, Chrono Trigger Director Involved

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Games News Report

A website teasing a new Final Fantasy announcement has appeared online. It features a countdown that is scheduled to expire five days from the publication of this article. Although there aren't many details about the project, the website's URL has "FF_NEW" in it, indicating it will be a brand new game.

The bottom of the website prominently says "iPhone" and "Android," so it'll almost certainly a mobile title. Furthermore, it looks Chrono Trigger director, Takashi Tokita, is involved in its creation. As reported by DualShockers, the website features a message from Tokita.

"Final Fantasy is about characters with anger and sadness, and dramatic battles full of humanity. And more than anything else, we should not forget the fantasy."

The website also has some beautiful artwork from Yoshitaka Amano, who often collaborates with Square Enix to create artwork for the Final Fantasy series.

The next entry in the mainline series, Final Fantasy 15, has a confirmed release date of November 29. GameSpot recently played through the first 15 hours or so of the game ahead of its release for Xbox One and PlayStation 4; read our impressions here.

Square Enix recently announced Final Fantasy 15 will feature online multiplayer in the form of co-op, but this will be delivered through downloadable content.

"The #FFXV DLC will add brand new gameplay styles & experiences to the game so we hope you'll look forward to lots of exciting things to come," it said in a Twitter post.

Final Fantasy 15 has "gone gold," which means development on the base game has been completed. This brings a development cycle that has lasted over a decade to a close.

The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale lineup undergoes a few changes

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UFC News Report

A few additions are set The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale’s fight card.

The event takes place Dec. 3 at The Pearl at Palms Casino Resort in Las Vegas. It airs on FS1 following early prelims on UFC Fight Pass, though the bout order hasn’t been finalized.

Officials recently announced a flyweight bout between Brandon Moreno (12-3 MMA, 1-0 UFC), who’s an honorable mention in the USA TODAY Sports/MMAjunkie MMA flyweight rankings, and Ryan Benoit (9-4 MMA, 2-2 UFC).

Moreno lost his opening-round bout to Alexandre Pantoja on “TUF 24” but made the most of a short-notice opportunity at UFC Fight Night 96, where he upset ranked vet Louis Smolka via submission. The 22-year-old Mexican fight is now riding a nine-fight winning streak with six submissions and a knockout.

Benoit, meanwhile, has alternated wins and losses over his past seven fights. Under the UFC banner, the 27-year-old has scored wins over Sergio Pettis (TKO) and Fredy Serrano (split decision) while suffering losses to Josh Sampo (in a “Fight of the Night” performance) and Ben Nguyen.

In addition to that flyweight matchup, officials recently confirmed middleweight Devin Clark (6-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC), a former RFA champ who suffered a knockout loss to Alex Nicholson in his UFC debut, has replaced injured Jake Collier (10-3 MMA, 2-2 UFC) against Josh Stansbury (8-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC), who’s won eight straight fights – including his UFC debut against Cory Hendricks – since starting his pro career with a 0-2 mark.

The latest TUF 24 Finale card now includes:

  • Champ Demetrious Johnson vs. TBA – for flyweight title
  • Joseph Benavidez vs. Henry Cejudo
  • Jake Ellenberger vs. Jorge Masvidal
  • Jared Cannonier vs. Ion Cutelaba
  • Alexis Davis vs. Sara McMann
  • Ryan Hall vs. Gray Maynard
  • Rob Font vs. Alejandro Perez
  • Kailin Curran vs. Jamie Moyle
  • Devin Clark vs. Josh Stansbury
  • Elvis Mutapcic vs. Anthony Smith
  • Brendan O’Reilly vs. “Maestro” Dong Hyun Kim
  • Ryan Benoit vs. Brandon Moreno

Asian Ninja vs Black Dude Fight In The Stands

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Bills fans keeping it classy as always!

Thursday, 27 October 2016 / No Comments

Goodness, how does one fan base create so much controversy and LOL’s all within a few hours on Sunday??

From selling anti-Kaepernick shirts, to tackling a Kaepernick dummy, to booing Kaepernick for kneeling.  And all of that somehow turned into some Bills fans kneeling outside the stadium in solidarity with him.

Bills fans weren’t finished, but this time it didn’t involve the San Francisco 49ers QB.

Outside of Ralph Wilson Stadium on Sunday, a Bills fan decided to get his day of drinking started early.  But drinking from a can is too mainstream, so he decided to drink it from the butt-crack of a female Bills fan.

Microsoft gives away Borderlands for free, maybe by accident

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Games News Report

Microsoft is giving away two of the best games of the last console generation for free, possibly by mistake.

Borderlands: The Handsome Collection, which contains Borderlands 2 and Borderlands: The Pre-Sequel, is free for the Xbox One right now, and users can add the games to their library on Microsoft’s website.

All wonderful and very generous, but it might not actually be deliberate. Although Microsoft does regularly give away games for free, it normally requires recipients to be members of Xbox Live Gold. Sony does similar, giving free games away to members of its competing Playstation Plus service. But Borderlands is available to non-members too.

Also, Microsoft hasn’t actually said anything about the games, which is weird if it’s a promotion because promotions are normally, well, promoting something.

If you do download the game, Microsoft might even take it away from you, just like it did back in June when another mistake gave away free copies of Fallout 4. Then again, that was a fairly new, AAA game, rather than an older port; and even then, users were given $10 store credit for free.

So why not grab Borderlands? The worst thing that will happen is you won’t have Borderlands in a bit.

Microsoft has not replied to a request for comment.

UFC Fight Night 100's Cortney Casey: Beating Claudia Gadelha won't result in strawweight title shot

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Cortney Casey is quite realistic about her position in the UFC strawweight division and what will ultimately be required in order to earn a title shot against champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk.

Casey (6-3 MMA, 2-2 UFC) is scheduled to fight former title challenger Claudia Gadelha (13-2 MMA, 2-2 UFC) at UFC Fight Night 100 next month in Brazil, a fight which signifies her chance to pick up a third consecutive octagon triumph and break through as a top contender at her weight class.

Even if she beats Gadleha, though, Casey understands there’s typically a pecking order en route to a title shot. She would take several leaps up in that order with a win, but said she recognizes it still probably won’t be enough.

“I think a win takes me pretty far,” Casey told MMAjunkie. “She’s the No. 1 contender, so it definitely moves me up quite a few spots. I definitely don’t think if I beat Claudia I would get an automatic title shot. There’s a lot of other fighters that have a lot going as well. I think a fight or two between that. I’m just focusing on the Claudia fight and making sure I get the W on that night then wherever the UFC places me after that is up to them.”

UFC Fight Night 100 takes place Nov. 19 at Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Casey vs. Gadelha takes place on the FS1-televised main card following prelims on the same channel and UFC Fight Pass.

The idea of Casey fighting someone of Gadelha’s stature seemed unrealistic not long ago. “Cast Iron” opened her UFC career with back-to-back losses to Joanne Calderwood and Seo Hee Ham but has quickly turned things around in her past two fights with a first-round submission of Randa Markos at UFC 202 in August and a first-round TKO of Cristina Stanciu at UFC Fight Night 91 in July.

Casey said she always knew she was capable of rising to the top, so when the opportunity to fight Gadelha, No. 2 in the latest USA TODAY Sports/MMAjunkie MMA women’s strawweight rankings, was presented, she didn’t hesitate to accept.

“I definitely did see myself getting here,” Casey said. “This is what we all strive for, to fight the No. 1 contender, then eventually fight for the title. I did have a rough start in the UFC. My first fight with ‘JoJo’ was on pretty short notice then I went into the Ham fight with a rib injury.

“I took a lot away from both of those fights. On eight days’ notice I was able to hang with a top-10 contender, then Ham is a huge veteran. She had just as many losses as I had fights in general. … She was definitely a seasoned fighter and I went three rounds with her. I definitely knew this time would come and I just knew I had to go into my fights healthy.”

Getting a big fight is one thing, but actually coming out on the winning end is an entirely different task. Gadelha has only suffered two losses in her career, both to Jedrzejczyk, with the most recent being a unanimous decision defeat for the title at The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale in July.

What’s more, Gadelha has shown clear desire to improve after falling short of the belt. She recently moved from her longtime training camp in her native Brazil to unfamiliar territory in Albuquerque, N.M., to train with Greg Jackson and Chris Luttrell.

That doesn’t instill any fear in Casey, though, she said. She believes that no matter how substantially Gadelha improves from fight to fight with her team, she has the physical and mental assets to hang.

“Claudia’s a very strong fighter all-around,” Casey said. “She’s a black belt in jiu-jitsu, she has great wrestling and her striking has come along. I feel like it’s going to be a war everywhere it goes, but I can keep the pace when she tries to push the pace and bully fighters around. I’m one of the bigger fighters in the division, and I can stand my ground. I’m good on the ground as you guys have seen.

“It’s about focusing not so much on her and her game plan, or what we think she’s going to do, but just really filling in the holes that I have in my game and try to make sure that I come up with a good game plan so I go in and fight the best we can. We know she’s changes camps, we know that she could come out with a completely different style than we’ve seen. We can’t prepare for the past fighter.”

Whatever version of Gadelha shows up, Casey said she will be ready to pull off the upset. As one of the tallest and lengthiest fighters in the 115-pound division, Casey thinks she has the tools to travel into hostile territory and shock her opponent and the crowd. All she needs to do is stay disciplined.

“If (Jedrzejczyk) can drop her, I can drop her as well,” Casey said. “I think I’m bigger than most of the girls in the division. As long as I can keep the range and keep her on the outside, I think I can take this fight.”

UFC News Report